It’s a Crapitol Shitty Type of Review

Marshall Law trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (JobuNeedsARefill)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Roberto Perez ($7)
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Capital City Ironmen)

 

Hustle’s Toxic $.02: Marshall needed a catcher so he traded down in the 5th round (11 picks total) to get a $7 Roberto Perez.  The price was basically free. So why not? Perez’ Streamer slash line is projected at 219/303/399 slash, which would be down from 239/321/452 of last year.  If he regresses that much he might not be worth owning. His biggest asset is PAs at catcher, and currently he’s expected to get a decent amount. $7 in auction for Perez would be fine, last year Tucker Barnhart went for $23. That might not be the guide to guy by, but clearly shows some people’s desperation if it goes to auction. As bad as a $23 was for Barnhart, someone bid $22.  This is a nice way to lock in some catcher PAs  and Marshall was currently carrying a blank there, so this is a cheap fix.  For Bailey?  Moving up 11 picks in the 5th makes his farm just a bit stronger than it was before this trade. Congrats.

 

Organized Chaos trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Marshall Law)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (JobuNeedsARefill)
Clayton Kershaw ($125)

Hustle’s Toxic $.02: First thought that comes to my mind when seeing this trade come in is remembering that Kershaw was traded straight up for a 5th round pick a couple months ago. So Bailey clearly profited here. Turned two 5th round picks into a 3rd. Somehow, his farm got even stronger. Back to back trades.  His rebuild is hitting its stride here.  Well done sir.

For Swinson, he gives up a 3rd round pick for a very overpriced Kershaw.  If Kershaw gets thrown back in, he goes for a lot. Maybe 90, maybe 120, maybe more. A few teams have a lot of money heading into auction, Swinson basically made his purchase at the expense of a mid round pick. It seems good. Rounding out his budget with a high end pitcher seems smart with his roster, and if it doesn’t work out, he can probably get a pretty decent haul for a Kershaw rental.  The only critique here is probably not getting on it earlier where as it might have only costed him a 4th or 5th, but that’s a minor point. Leaving auction money on the table is the worst thing you can do, and this ensures Swinson won’t.

 

Trumpa Loompas trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Capital City Ironmen)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Wade Miley ($3)

Hustle’s Toxic $.02 Wade Miley was pretty useful in the first half last season and terrible in the second half.  Trumpas picks up  $3 pitcher for a 3rd round pick. With Innings Pitched instead of starts, Miley’s disaster games will hurt a little less.  I wouldn’t bet on Miley to be a very good pitcher in 2020, especially heading to Great American Smallpark, but this also wasn’t a very big bet.  I like this move to add SP depth for Trumpas.

Yet again, Bailey has made his farm stronger by getting a mid round pick. I’m in awe of the mobility he’s created in his rebuild. At this pace, by 2025, he might have a top 10 farm in Dynasty Grinders. Things are looking up!

The trade was for the 44th pick of the 2020 draft which has now been traded back and forth at least 4 times and is now back on Bailey’s team. The anticipation of whoever is picked here (likely Noah Song), will be through the roof come draft day! 21 days away!

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Julio Teheran $33)

Trumpa Loompas trades away
2021 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Trumpa Loompas)
2022 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Trumpa Loompas)

Just when I thought the nonsense was over, they bring me back in.  Bailey is on a mission here with all these picks.  2 more 3rd rounders!  He just bumped up his window in being a top 10 farm (maybe) by a full year. 2024.

For Trumpas, I think this is fine. Ideally you only give up one 3rd rounder here.  Julio Teheran moving to a better pitchers park helps his value. $33 seems about what he’d go for in auction. If he goes for less, it wouldn’t be a tremendous amount. Trumpas adds some more depth to its rotation that was in dire need for it. Maybe seeing Kershaw go off the board earlier in the day inspired Trumpas to make his de facto auction purchase.

Even if I’m not optimistic about his chances for Tehran’s success in 2020, the price was low enough for the gamble. Other than the Kershaw deal, that seems to be the trend in all three of these.

Bailey got some trade sweetners and since we are expanding 5 spots through 2023, these third rounders will have some value going forward.

Trade: Team Hydra | Long Ball to LF

Team Hydra sends: SP Julio Teheran ($27)
Long Ball to LF sends: 1B/LF/CF Ian Desmond ($23)

Hustle’s thoughts: With Kluber and Price on the DL, I think you could argue Teheran is Hydra’s best pitcher. He’s been awful at home and very good on the road. I just feel like someone with Teheran’s track record, that he will get it together at some point and prove to be the top 30/35 SP that he is, which in this league, is incredible valuable.

Desmond has some nice eligibility (1B/lf/cf), and should average more than 5 per game. He’s playing in Coors and the Rockies paid him. That being said, the Rockies have a lot of hitters and a log jam might force him out of the lineup more than expected at the beginning of the year. I don’t have much against Desmond, but when your pitching is decimated, it’s going to be hard to get 20-30 point stars from a guy. A rotation led by Porcello, Karns, and Vargas is quite risky to say the least.

Andrew’s thoughts: Good, even trade.

I think Hydra probably tired of Teheran’s loose cannon approach to pitching, and he hasn’t had much time to pitch there, but he looks awful in his new Atlanta home park. Teheran has always been homer prone and struck me as a bit overrated, but he may have officially crossed into “broken” territory. His K’s are way down and walks are way up. I like Long Ball buying him here just because pitchers are so fickle that one small tweak could get him back on track, but it’s definitely a gamble.

Desmond, meanwhile, has been kind of meh in his first 20 games with Colorado. He started out great, but now has a meager .296 wOBA. Like Teheran, he’s flawed and risky. But unlike Teheran, he has a home park that will clearly do him favors. He also offers some versatility, as he can slot in at three different positions.

I like this as a challenge trade for both teams. Personally, I’d rather have Desmond, but it’s close.