Trade: Marshall Law | Who’s Your Haddy?

Marshall Law trades away
SP Kevin Gausman ($23)

Who’s Your Haddy?¬†trades away
2020 3rd round pick

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

This seems reasonable for both teams. Any time you see a guy traded for a 3rd-5th rounder this time of year, assume he was getting cut by the team trading him away. Marshall is blatantly parsing down his salary commitments to make a run at a big time free agent. Who could it be? I have a well-placed source that says he’s got his eyes set on throwing $80 or so at Jeff Samardzija and Mike Fiers, who he could almost definitely turn around and flip to a pitching starved team after auction for prospects no one’s ever heard of. By getting this third rounder, Marshall has jumped in front of all my recently-acquired 3rds, which is truly devastating for my morale.

For Haddy, Kevin Gausman is a solid dice roll. He’s had flashes of greatness (to be fair, he’s also had flashes of relieverness and Orioleness/turdness) but at the cost of $23 salary and a draft pick, I like it. After cutting unkeepable $112 Mike Trout (per my spreadsheet), Haddy will have tons of salary to squander, so this helps prevent that a bit ahead of auction.

HUSTLE’s toxic $0.02

Trade seems fine for both teams.¬† Marshall lets go of former HLR legend, Kevin Gausman , but instead of cutting him gets a 3rd round pick.¬† So, that’s a win for him.¬† For Haddy, he makes a de facto auction purchase via trade. I think $22 is about what Gausman would go for, assuming he’s in the rotation, so adding a 3rd pick to secure a guy you like is probably a good move. It’s a low upside acquisition, but also a low cost one. I like it for both teams given their current roster construction.

Trade: Marshall Law | Senior Squids

Senior Squids trades away
CF/RF Avisail Garcia ($10)

Marshall Law trades away
3B Kyle Seager ($33)

HUSTLE’s toxic $0.02

This trade isn’t as cut and dry as Avisail is $23 cheaper, so this is a win for Marshall. Maybe it is. Elton certainly has a crater at 3b right with just Tommy Edman as his starting 3b (use to be cost controlled Matt Chapman). Seager was a beast in the second half and spending $33 for anything close to that 2nd half seems pretty fine, especially at the cost of Avisail Garcia who has been traded probably half a dozen times in our league’s history. Yes, Avisail is a former HLR legend (as is half the league at this point). I like Avisail a decent amount, and going to Milwaukee certainly helps. That being said, Avisail won’t be an every day player and Seager will be, so I think that mitigated at least some of the price difference. The auction money really doesn’t matter unless you’re trying to fit in an additional really good player, so I don’t see the price as a big deal. Seager helps Elton’s team more this year than Avisail was and committing a year to that contract doesn’t seem like a big deal. Marshall probably wasn’t keeping a $33 Seager to backup Moncada, but with no backup now he will look for a cheaper replacement in auction or the wire. I think both owners here did a good adding roster depth to their own teams at the cost of surplus on their own.

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

After trading cost controlled stud 3Bman Matt Chapman away for a Mariners prospect without first listing him on the trade block to surely ignite a bidding war, Senior Squids needed a 3Bman. Kyle Seager is a pretty good one. Prior to 2018, he was one of the best, most consistent guys in the league and in the second half of 2019 he looked like that same guy. I think he’s overpriced, but Squids is in a spot to potentially take a bunch of money to auction which seems like a recipe for disaster even though The Bundle has ensured this will be our strongest auction ever. May as well add pieces now. Squids announced publicly in Slack a while ago that he didn’t intend to compete in 2020, so one path here is that immediately after auction he could shop Seager to teams with high salaries like mine that can’t currently add much and get more than he paid here. Salary stuff aside, Seager is more appealing to contenders than Avisail in 2020, right? I guess there’s a debate to be had there but I lean yes.

Anyway, this trade seems okay for both teams if you don’t believe the $23 difference between the two players matters much. Clearly, Marshall believes it does (let’s be honest, he was cutting Seager) and Elton believes it doesn’t. I like a good challenge trade. Shrugging emoji.

It’s a Crapitol Shitty Type of Review

Marshall Law trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (JobuNeedsARefill)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Roberto Perez ($7)
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Capital City Ironmen)

 

Hustle’s Toxic $.02:¬†Marshall needed a catcher so he traded down in the 5th round (11 picks total) to get a $7 Roberto Perez.¬† The price was basically free. So why not? Perez’ Streamer slash line is projected at 219/303/399 slash, which would be down from 239/321/452 of last year.¬† If he regresses that much he might not be worth owning. His biggest asset is PAs at catcher, and currently he’s expected to get a decent amount. $7 in auction for Perez would be fine, last year Tucker Barnhart went for $23. That might not be the guide to guy by, but clearly shows some people’s desperation if it goes to auction. As bad as a $23 was for Barnhart, someone bid $22.¬† This is a nice way to lock in some catcher PAs¬† and Marshall was currently carrying a blank there, so this is a cheap fix.¬† For Bailey?¬† Moving up 11 picks in the 5th makes his farm just a bit stronger than it was before this trade. Congrats.

 

Organized Chaos trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Marshall Law)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (JobuNeedsARefill)
Clayton Kershaw ($125)

Hustle’s Toxic $.02:¬†First thought that comes to my mind when seeing this trade come in is remembering that Kershaw was traded straight up for a 5th round pick a couple months ago. So Bailey clearly profited here. Turned two 5th round picks into a 3rd. Somehow, his farm got even stronger. Back to back trades.¬† His rebuild is hitting its stride here.¬† Well done sir.

For Swinson, he gives up a 3rd round pick for a very overpriced Kershaw.¬† If Kershaw gets thrown back in, he goes for a lot. Maybe 90, maybe 120, maybe more. A few teams have a lot of money heading into auction, Swinson basically made his purchase at the expense of a mid round pick. It seems good. Rounding out his budget with a high end pitcher seems smart with his roster, and if it doesn’t work out, he can probably get a pretty decent haul for a Kershaw rental.¬† The only critique here is probably not getting on it earlier where as it might have only costed him a 4th or 5th, but that’s a minor point. Leaving auction money on the table is the worst thing you can do, and this ensures Swinson won’t.

 

Trumpa Loompas trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Capital City Ironmen)

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Wade Miley ($3)

Hustle’s Toxic $.02¬†Wade Miley was pretty useful in the first half last season and terrible in the second half.¬† Trumpas picks up¬† $3 pitcher for a 3rd round pick. With Innings Pitched instead of starts, Miley’s disaster games will hurt a little less.¬† I wouldn’t bet on Miley to be a very good pitcher in 2020, especially heading to Great American Smallpark, but this also wasn’t a very big bet.¬† I like this move to add SP depth for Trumpas.

Yet again, Bailey has made his farm stronger by getting a mid round pick. I’m in awe of the mobility he’s created in his rebuild. At this pace, by 2025, he might have a top 10 farm in Dynasty Grinders. Things are looking up!

The trade was for the 44th pick of the 2020 draft which has now been traded back and forth at least 4 times and is now back on Bailey’s team. The anticipation of whoever is picked here (likely Noah Song), will be through the roof come draft day! 21 days away!

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Julio Teheran $33)

Trumpa Loompas trades away
2021 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Trumpa Loompas)
2022 Draft Pick, Round 3 (Trumpa Loompas)

Just when I thought the nonsense was over, they bring me back in.  Bailey is on a mission here with all these picks.  2 more 3rd rounders!  He just bumped up his window in being a top 10 farm (maybe) by a full year. 2024.

For Trumpas, I think this is fine. Ideally you only give up one 3rd rounder here.¬† Julio Teheran moving to a better pitchers park helps his value. $33 seems about what he’d go for in auction. If he goes for less, it wouldn’t be a tremendous amount. Trumpas adds some more depth to its rotation that was in dire need for it. Maybe seeing Kershaw go off the board earlier in the day inspired Trumpas to make his de facto auction purchase.

Even if I’m not optimistic about his chances for Tehran’s success in 2020, the price was low enough for the gamble. Other than the Kershaw deal, that seems to be the trend in all three of these.

Bailey got some trade sweetners and since we are expanding 5 spots through 2023, these third rounders will have some value going forward.

Trade: The Foundation | Marshall Law

The Foundation trades away
2021 1st Round Pick

Marshall Law trades away
LF/CF/RF Jesse Winker ($5, cost controlled)

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

I’d definitely rather have Jesse Winker (26 years old, .362 career wOBA) than a draft pick a year from now. But I also feel like you can probably trade the pick four months from now and get more for it than you could trading Winker four months from now, since the buying team in that scenario will probably think a 26 year old doesn’t fit their contention window several years into the future. The only obstacle for Winker is playing time but he’s so cheap that it almost doesn’t matter. I would’ve probably paid more than just one future 1st, so good deal for Jordan I guess.

I assume Marshall got pumped the White Sox signed Luis Robert and will have him on the opening day roster, making Winker expendable. That seems fine to me. Steamer projects Robert to score a whopping 12.9 more points than Winker in 2020, although both projections currently assume those guys aren’t getting full time playing time. Robert’s projection should go up, although Winker still projects better on a Pt/PA basis. But shut up nerd, none of that matters because the goal is to play fantasy baseball and not Spread Sheet Supervisor‚ĄĘ.

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

Jesse Winker has eligibility at each OF spot and currently I see only Nimmo, Betts, and Peralta as decent OFers on Marshall’s team with not the most exciting UT options. I guess Robert signing the contract is a good 4th OF to have, but the position situation for Marshall Law isn’t so deep to give away Winker for a pick. The Foundation seems poised to regress from last year, which will make the pick more valuable than it would be this year, but having the 6-9th pick vs having a good cheap OF now seems questionable. It’s a risky move, and I think I agree with Bailey that I would just rather have the sure thing now. In a daily league like DG, the sporadic playing time isn’t that much of an issue, and good hitters generally find a spot eventually. I do like draft picks and prospects, but on Marshall’s team under it’s current construction, Winker helps his team significantly more this year than a pick, unless the pick is packaged for a player better than Winker, which surely in the outcomes. For Jordan, getting Winker greatly increases his OF depth at each spot, so it seems like a no brainer. Jordan outsourcing his picks is also a no brainer. You don’t even need a brain to make a good trade.

Happy New Year

Trade: TBD | Organized Chaos

TBD trades away
3B Bobby Dalbec
2020 3rd Round Pick

Organized Chaos trades away
SP Matthew Liberatore
2020 2nd Round Pick

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

Prospect for prospect trades are kinda fun.

Organized Chaos has a gaping hole at 3B and so maybe Bobby Dalbec gets called up this year and helps. OC also has a bunch of pitching prospects and pitching prospects are fickle, so who knows which, if any, will become something good. Meanwhile, TBD is flush with 3B because they were given stud cost controlled 3Bman Matt Chapman for a slapdick prospect that will hopefully one day be as good as Matt Chapman already is but in the distant future, after the next MLB labor strike etc, and also they have Kris Bryant, Yuli Gurriel, and Eduardo Escobar on their 3B depth chart. TBD is truly a yearly 3Bman powerhouse. Great job, Josh. Basically Dalbec was totally superfluous so hey, might as well add a Rays pitcher.

Yeah, this is a fair trade. My favorite part is the pick swap. Eight picks was apparently the difference between Dalbec and Matt Liberatore and damn it, TBD just wasn’t doing this deal unless they moved up. They stole a move right out of Marshall Law’s playbook and executed it to perfection. I respect it.

I like this trade for both teams. Seems fair and fine and good. And as always, the destination doesn’t even matter. It’s about the experience. The thrill of the negotiation. Metaphorically it’s like fishing. The thrill of the fight is more exciting and fun than the actual catch. But to have that excitement it takes the fish and the angler to be active participants. Reeling in a fish that isn’t doing much isn’t that rewarding. That’s my big takeaway from this trade.

Trade: Marshall Law | Capital City Income

Marshall Law trades away
Aaron Bracho
Yusniel Diaz
Howie Kendrick $7

Crapital Shitty Income trades away
Kyle Hendricks $39

 

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

Another Seems Fine‚ĄĘÔłŹ trade.¬† Marshall is clearly using prospects to compete in 2020 and cashing in for Kyle Hendricks without dealing anyone too elite seems smart. Despite his lack of strikeouts, Hendricks is always someone who gets a lot of efficient innings which becomes important as we switch over to IP from starts.¬† Hendricks also becomes a no doubt starter for Marshall Law each week, with his rotation having the likes of McCullers, Kopech, and Fried, some stability was certainly needed and probably still some to be desired.

Bailey purchased Hendricks for Joc Pederson, Brock Burke, Isan Diaz, and Cody Bolton near the deadline and then used him and turned him into this. It was a nice rental and tenure for former CCI legend Kyle Hendricks. The return is pretty close to what he paid for him, so that’s a win right there. He borrowed and used an asset at basically no interest. Which is a segue to my next point and nobody he got in return was particularly interesting. Both Diaz and Bracho make CCI’s farm considerably better than what it was, so kudos. With 30 roster spots for minor leaguers and moving to 35, you need guys, and these are certainly guys.¬† As for Howie Kendrick, it was no secret to the league that he wanted to acquire him, so congrats to that. Kendrick was a monster in limited PAs last year, but if someone signs him to be a starter and his underlying skills stay in tact he’s a pretty valuable 1b/2b/3b option. On the flip side he is older and has almost never performed that well for a full season

Makes sense for both teams!

Jordan’s take

I got to see some of Aaron Bracho down in Lake County to close this season. The bat speed looks alright, but I question his pitch selection.¬† These sorts of things tend to work themselves out in the long run, but he’s really going to have to adjust his torque if he wants to get to his full 15 HR upside.

Keith’s take

I knew Hendricks was on the block, but I didn’t think he’d be given away for free.

Fern’s take

Bailey got a bundle of players and the auction got weaker. Weird.

Elton’s take

Bailey trades for another 1bman.  Typical. He still has a lot of $ to shed.

HADDY’s take

It’s November.

DAN’S take

I don’t make trades, but if I made a trade, it would be a championship move because a champion was making it.

TBD’S take

I would have offered more -Josh

I would have offered less -Joe

BAILEY’S take

I would have never traded away Kyle Hendricks if I knew everyone would review this trade.

 

 

Trade: The Process | Capital City Income

Capital City Ironmen trades away
Kelly, Merrill ($26)

The Process trades away
2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Marshall Law)
Teheran, Julio ($33)

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $.02

Yeah well, Kelly lasted on Bailey’s team for a few hours. Most notable part about this trade is Marshall taught Bailey his trademark move, “The Pick and Roll”. The Pick and Roll is when you send a trade offer to someone where all the pieces are generally equal but you ask for a shit PICK in the offer and ROLL the dice to see if the other owner is too lazy to stand his ground on a pick of little value. Bailey hit the Pick and Roll to perfection here.

Didn’t think Bailey was keeping Kelly because of salary reasons, so I’m not sure he keeps another pitcher who is roughly the same but slightly more expensive. Ferns gets a pitcher her presumably likes more than Teheran, because the 7 dollar price difference shouldn’t be a factor for him. The numbers say Julio was slightly better on a P/IP level and Julio has been a consistent innings guy for years now, so he might be slightly more valuable, but Kelly had a few really good stretches. I think Kelly has more upside to “figure it out” in his 2nd year back in the majors. Seems Fine

Have a great weekend.

 

 

Trade: TBD | Marshall Law

Marshall Law trades away
Marsh, Brandon($0 Prospect)
2021 Draft Pick, Round 3 (We Talk Fantasy Sports)
2020 Draft Pick, Round 1 (Marshall Law)
Lynch, Daniel ($0 Prospect)

TBD trades away
Altuve, Jose ($67)
2021 Draft Pick, Round 4 (The Foundation)

 

Hustle’s Toxic $.02

Trade actually seems pretty good for Marshall I think.¬† Jose Altuve is expensive, but not THAT expensive like some guys are, and he’s the top 2bman in the game, and somehow still in his 20s. He should be elite for a couple years and at currently one of the more scarce positions. TBD has certainly rebuilt their farm in a few trades. Brandon Marsh, former HLR legend, is someone I like but probably not anything too special. He gets Jayson Werth comps, so that would be his upside.¬† Lynch is certainly one of the better SP prospects and they get the 5th overall pick too, which probably nets them someone pretty decent.¬† ¬†I kinda think I would have punted someone besides Altuve for prospects, but I’m not intimately familiar with TBD’s roster salary-wise and how much they needed to cut. That’s someone else’s job.

Marshall got a lot of prospects and then traded a bunch away (still having many good ones) to compete for 2020 and has lapped many teams who have yet to make playoffs.¬† I rank Marshall’s team close to 6 in my¬† Power Ranking (full rankings available to Hustle Media subscribers), which is a good spot to be in heading into 2020.

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

Congrats to Marshall on the acquisition of 2019 World Series Runner-Up Jose Altuve and another future shitpick. From the perspective of acquiring fantasy baseball points for your fantasy baseball team, I think this is a great deal for you. All adding 2019 World Series Runner-Up Jose Altuve cost here was two fringe prospects, a meaningless 2021 draft pick, and most of all… the fifth overall pick this year and your choice of CJ Abrams or Riley Greene. Oh man. I know who I’d choose.

Trade: JobuNeedsARefill | Marshall Law

JobuNeedsARefill trades away

  • P McCullers Jr., Lance $9
  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†4 (The Process)

Marshall Law trades away

  • UT Andujar, Miguel $9.03

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

This trade seems even to me. I’d rather have McCullers, I guess, and I respect Marshall squeezing an extra shitpick out of an otherwise perfectly fair heads up trade. It’s the 56th overall pick, so Marshall has effectively locked up the draft rights to his choice of Chase Strumpf or maybe, just maybe, Rece Hinds. Oh man, wouldn’t that be something.

Hustle’s TOXIC $.02

This trade is all wild cards for me.I kind of don’t know what McCullers or Andjuar are. With the new IP limit rule, McCullers is protected somewhat even if he isn’t starting, so I like the floor of at least getting some innings every week with some decent strikeouts. If he bounces back to be a good starter, this is a pretty huge win for Marshall.¬† Meanwhile, the Yankees are surely going to sign someone, will an infielder enter the mix?¬† Will DH be clogged by Stanton? Is Andjuar the Yankees 1bman after Marshall traded FOR Voit and Bird?¬† This trade is pretty hard to review, which probably means at the very least it seems fair.

Underrated part of the trade is this is yet another Marshall Trade where he receives a shitpick for literally no reason.¬† If you think the 4th rounder was the reason Marshall did this trade, then I dunno.¬† Sometimes it’s ok to say “No” to releasing free shitpicks.¬† That being said, I do respect Marshall’s love for drafting minor leaguers.¬† May the FV be in your favor.

Trade: Marshall Law | Organized Chaos

Marshall Law trades away

  • SS Nico Hoerner ($0 prospect)
  • 2022 4th Round Pick

Organized Chaos trades away

  • 2B Cavan Biggio ($1 cost controlled)
  • 2021 3rd Round Pick

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

Let’s get to the exciting part of this trade, the draft picks. I will say that this is the sort of trade that if you need a slightly better shitpick in a different year to make it “work” for you, then you shouldn’t do it.¬† Conversely if someone is asking you for a slightly better shitpick in a 1:1 trade, you should probably tell them no, unless you just love the trade and want it to happen right away.

This trade seems fine to me.¬† Biggio is in the majors and scoring points right now, so I think preferring him makes the most logical sense, which is why the draft pick confuses me here. That being said, Biggio also has strikeout issues and isn’t a lock to produce at the same level he did.¬† Nico Hoerner is a few years younger has decent enough upside to perhaps be even better than Biggio.¬† Added bonus, Hoerner was good enough to debut already and maintain his $0 cost control status. Still though, I’d prefer Biggio here, but I don’t feel so great about his future that I think risking him for a prospect I like more seems crazy.¬† I don’t know if Hoerner would be that guy for me, but if he is for Swinson I get it.

Prospects are fun.¬† Elton once ranked all the farms in Dynasty Grinders a few years ago and rated mine the best, and in that moment, I felt pretty good. Thank you Elton.¬† Even though Bailey surely has a stronger “not caring about prospects” stance than I do, I simply refuse to hate on someone believing in the abilities of a player that they view as potentially SPECIAL.