Trade: Marshall Law | Capital City Income

Marshall Law trades away
Aaron Bracho
Yusniel Diaz
Howie Kendrick $7

Crapital Shitty Income trades away
Kyle Hendricks $39

 

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

Another Seems Fine‚ĄĘÔłŹ trade.¬† Marshall is clearly using prospects to compete in 2020 and cashing in for Kyle Hendricks without dealing anyone too elite seems smart. Despite his lack of strikeouts, Hendricks is always someone who gets a lot of efficient innings which becomes important as we switch over to IP from starts.¬† Hendricks also becomes a no doubt starter for Marshall Law each week, with his rotation having the likes of McCullers, Kopech, and Fried, some stability was certainly needed and probably still some to be desired.

Bailey purchased Hendricks for Joc Pederson, Brock Burke, Isan Diaz, and Cody Bolton near the deadline and then used him and turned him into this. It was a nice rental and tenure for former CCI legend Kyle Hendricks. The return is pretty close to what he paid for him, so that’s a win right there. He borrowed and used an asset at basically no interest. Which is a segue to my next point and nobody he got in return was particularly interesting. Both Diaz and Bracho make CCI’s farm considerably better than what it was, so kudos. With 30 roster spots for minor leaguers and moving to 35, you need guys, and these are certainly guys.¬† As for Howie Kendrick, it was no secret to the league that he wanted to acquire him, so congrats to that. Kendrick was a monster in limited PAs last year, but if someone signs him to be a starter and his underlying skills stay in tact he’s a pretty valuable 1b/2b/3b option. On the flip side he is older and has almost never performed that well for a full season

Makes sense for both teams!

Jordan’s take

I got to see some of Aaron Bracho down in Lake County to close this season. The bat speed looks alright, but I question his pitch selection.¬† These sorts of things tend to work themselves out in the long run, but he’s really going to have to adjust his torque if he wants to get to his full 15 HR upside.

Keith’s take

I knew Hendricks was on the block, but I didn’t think he’d be given away for free.

Fern’s take

Bailey got a bundle of players and the auction got weaker. Weird.

Elton’s take

Bailey trades for another 1bman.  Typical. He still has a lot of $ to shed.

HADDY’s take

It’s November.

DAN’S take

I don’t make trades, but if I made a trade, it would be a championship move because a champion was making it.

TBD’S take

I would have offered more -Josh

I would have offered less -Joe

BAILEY’S take

I would have never traded away Kyle Hendricks if I knew everyone would review this trade.

 

 

Trade: JobuNeedsARefill | The Process

The Process trades away
RF Nick Markakis ($6)

JobuNeedsARefill trades away
SP Danny Salazar ($11)

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

This is the prototypical “seems fine” trade.

Jobu adds a cheap bench hitter at the expense of a broken pitcher that he was probably going to cut anyway. Meanwhile, The Process punts a cheap bench hitter that he was probably going to cut for the right to hold onto a free agent pitcher that might sign somewhere interesting and show signs of health. It wouldn’t surprise me if both players end up at auction come March, but for now, this just seems like two teams moving on from guys they definitely don’t want to keep for guys that maybe, possibly, depending how the rest of the offseason goes, could be kept.

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

Some people would say “Get a life, and do some community service” rather than waste your time on a meaningless trade like this. I am not one of those people. Life is precious, but also life expectancy is almost 80 years in the United States. Thats a lot of time. You need stuff to fill in the gaps. Talking about Markakis for Danny Salazar for 5 minutes? That’s the real trade here.¬† Was the time spent hashing this trade worth it in the grand spectrum of one’s lifetime? Is this review worth that time?¬† These are the true difficult questions we need to ask ourselves, and sometimes the answers are difficult.

Ultimately, I like this trade for BOTH teams because they spent some time together, talked some baseball, and exchanged ideas to possibly (even though extremely unlikely) improve their Dynasty Grinder franchises for 2020.  Good on you guys.

Trade: TBD | Jobu Needs a Refill

TBD trades away
3B Gio Urshela ($7)
Two 2020 4th Round Picks

JobuNeedsARefill trades away
SS Alexander Vargas (prospect)
Two 2020 2nd Round Picks

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

I like this deal for Jobu, adding a cheap 3Bman that put up a .369 wOBA last year. Honestly, I’m not a big Gio Urshela believer. He ran a high BABIP, doesn’t walk much, and probably got a lot of his power from the bouncy ball that may or may not return in 2020. I’m also not sure about his playing time. Having said all that, he’s undeniably a 28-year-old that costs a measly $7 and put up 1.548 points per plate appearance last year. That is all very good and I think you’re better off betting on real, actual production that just happened than on future picks. It’s still crazy to me that the league collectively looks at players that just did what Urshela did, then at his cost, and still seem to prefer fringe prospects that won’t debut for several years. So good on Jobu for taking the gamble that 2019 was legit. If it’s not, oh well, he’s out three prospects that won’t debut until sometime after MLB’s labor strike anyway.

For TBD, they seemingly don’t believe in Urshela either and will happily take a decent Yankee prospect and more picks to either strengthen one of the best farms in the league or flip whoever they draft to Senior Squids or Trumpa Loompas for whoever their best player is in May. It’s smart and I respect it. Good job, Josh.

The biggest loser in this trade is me, because four picks being moved means I had to update the draft sheet four times. I hated every second of it.

HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02

After reading Bailey’s review I have some thoughts. 1) Does anyone want to make a trade with just draft picks involved and 2) Where were you when Gio Urshella was on the block?

I prefer the picks here, because I don’t really believe in Urshella as more than just an average 3bman.¬† Personally, I think one 2nd rounder should have been able to get it done.¬† That being said, taking Urshella seems like a fine gamble for Jobu to make here.¬† I think the Yankees will start him at 3b and if he hits anything close to like he did last year, he will stay, I’d lean he doesn’t.¬† Either way, ultimately Seems Fine‚ĄĘÔłŹ.

Trade: JobuNeedsARefill | Marshall Law

JobuNeedsARefill trades away

  • P McCullers Jr., Lance $9
  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†4 (The Process)

Marshall Law trades away

  • UT Andujar, Miguel $9.03

BAILEY’S THOUGHTS

This trade seems even to me. I’d rather have McCullers, I guess, and I respect Marshall squeezing an extra shitpick out of an otherwise perfectly fair heads up trade. It’s the 56th overall pick, so Marshall has effectively locked up the draft rights to his choice of Chase Strumpf or maybe, just maybe, Rece Hinds. Oh man, wouldn’t that be something.

Hustle’s TOXIC $.02

This trade is all wild cards for me.I kind of don’t know what McCullers or Andjuar are. With the new IP limit rule, McCullers is protected somewhat even if he isn’t starting, so I like the floor of at least getting some innings every week with some decent strikeouts. If he bounces back to be a good starter, this is a pretty huge win for Marshall.¬† Meanwhile, the Yankees are surely going to sign someone, will an infielder enter the mix?¬† Will DH be clogged by Stanton? Is Andjuar the Yankees 1bman after Marshall traded FOR Voit and Bird?¬† This trade is pretty hard to review, which probably means at the very least it seems fair.

Underrated part of the trade is this is yet another Marshall Trade where he receives a shitpick for literally no reason.¬† If you think the 4th rounder was the reason Marshall did this trade, then I dunno.¬† Sometimes it’s ok to say “No” to releasing free shitpicks.¬† That being said, I do respect Marshall’s love for drafting minor leaguers.¬† May the FV be in your favor.

Trade: TBD | JobuNeedsARefill

JobuNeedsARefill trades away
Baz, Shane ($0 prospect)
Kieboom, Carter ($0 prospect)

TBD trades away
Sanchez, Gary ($35)
Wood, Alex ($9)

Hustle’s Toxic $.02

My knee jerk reaction is to always give TBD the benefit of the nod for a trade, they scout prospects well, so I just assume they kind of bought low on Keiboom after a forgettable major league debut and Baz is probably an Ace now. Whatever.¬† The trade does seem OK. I look back on this old trade review where Elton originally gave up Sanchez (a slightly cheaper version of him) for 4 prospects, only one of which really has legs in 2020.¬† So 2 full seasons later Sanchez gets moved for 2 prospects.¬† Now, I’m sure all 4 of those prospects looked a lot better 2 seasons ago, but point remains, if only one of these TBD scouted prospects hits, the return is probably similar.¬† So trading Sanchez 2 years too soon netted basically nothing but losing out production on one of the better catchers in the game, and he still is.

A lot of TBDs trades thus far needs to be looked at in the lens that they need to cut guys to get to $500, a rule many people hated without understanding, or they hated because of “bundling”, the least American and moral thing that can be done. I’m sure they chose which players they could get value from to get salary off their ledger and landed on Sanchez because they also acquired Carson Kelly for free and have James McCann.¬† Personally, I think both are probably a decent downgrade from Sanchez, so I assume they might be in the market for a catcher if they can get one. I do also really like Carson Kelly, but just not banking on him to be very good, and Sanchez has been elite when healthy at his position for a few years now, albeit he may have peaked.

The prospects are good. Clark gets the best or second best catcher in baseball for under 10% of his budget. I can’t say I dislike it for him.¬† He regrets this trade only if one of the prospect turns into a superstar and Sanchez sucks, which seems under 50% of both those things happening.

Good trade for…. BOTH teams.

BAILEY’s THOUGHTS

I’m going to give the win to Jobu here simply for being willing to deal prospects that we’ve all heard of for proven MLB talent. Gary Sanchez is a very good catcher and Alex Wood is a fine wildcard. Wood’s an injury-riddled season removed from being an 800 point pitcher and was a 900 point pitcher the year prior. This is a good risk. If he’s hurt again, you cut him pre-2021 and move on.

It’s possible this deal looks crappy eventually because Sanchez’s defense sucks so bad that he’s 1B or UT only while one or both of these prospects are awesome and cheap, but that’s down the road. Go get you some points now and put up a fight.

For TBD, this is just your standard Yearly Powerhouse budget move. I look forward to them trading one of Shane Baz or Carter Kieboom in June for a couple of high priced studs.

Trade: Marshall Law | Long Ball to LF

Marshall Law trades away

$5 Auction budget 2020
2021 Draft Pick, Round 4 (Marshall Law)
2020 Draft Pick, Round 3 (The Process)

Long ball to LF (Johnnywise) trades away
Taillon, Jameson ($22)

 

hustle’s toxic $0.02

Really like this trade for Marshall. First and foremost, he gave up nothing. The picks are largely irrelevant. There should be a good sleeper available in the middle of round 3, but is LeavittBall going to be able to nab that one guy? History and track record says probably not.¬† Marshall is committing $22 in Taillon’s salary for 2020 and $5 as a sweetener to LB for the right to own Taillon for $24 in 2021.

I think if Taillon was healthy and in auction for 2020, he probably goes above $50.¬† Pirates cleaning house and having a new pitching coach can only be a plus for all Pirates pitching.¬† Chances are you aren’t spending under $25 in auction and getting a good SP to keep. Last year I think Domingo German was probably the only pitcher in that range that actually seems like a great keep for 2020, and even he might have trouble getting a rotation spot.

Anyway, it’s a good allocation of basically $27 budget¬† for Marshall, even if he won’t see meaningful points until 2021.¬† ¬†Taillon won’t even count as a roster spot because he’ll have precious IL eligibility. There’s even a non zero chance that Taillon gets Marshall some meaningful points in September.

For LeavitBall, I’m not quite sure what to make of this. The $5 in theory gives him more ammunition to get a big name in auction, and I’m sure if that’s the plan, other moves for cash are probably in the pipeline. That being said, I’m not sure giving up an actual asset for a mid round pick and $5 makes much sense regardless of the plan. This seems more confusing to me because LeavittBall has plenty of budget due to his 2 best moves in DynastyGrinders history 1) Picking up Ronald Acuna of the waiver wire and 2) Picking up Juan Soto off the waiver wire.¬† My guess is Leavitt was anxious to trade and Marshall was the only one willing to play ball. I think some of the other teams who have a lot of budget and have publicly/privately declared themself out for 2020, would have benefitted from a $24 Taillon in 2021.¬† ¬†Keith, if you’re reading this review, let me know.

Anyway, this trade ultimately Seems Fine (TM), but I do like the forward thinking by Marshall here, and I’m not quite sure it even puts a dent in his present, which a trade like this generally should. I look forward to Leavitt’s public explanation of this trade, maybe I am missing something.

Leavitt’s public explanation: Good review. Maybe after reading it I should have been a little more patient, but as much as I like Taillon he is out for the year with no guarantees to be the same after a 2nd TJ surgery. I wasn‚Äôt about to waste 25 dollars of my budget on a 0. I tried to acquire a few prospects I liked but that didn‚Äôt go anywhere so I added a few dollars to his draft pick offers and took something for nothing in my view. I bought Garrett Richards for 5 dollars last year, I don‚Äôt think a guy out for the year was getting much more than 20, specially with this auction primed to be better with the new rules in place.

 

 

BAILEY’s Thoughts

Hustle stole most of my thoughts about this trade, much like I stole Max Scherzer in a trade once.

The picks are nothing. The $5 is nothing (yay, $5 extra you can throw at Mike Leake!). Granted, for 2020 at least, Jameson Taillon is also nothing. But a year ago he was roughly a top-25 overall SP and he’ll be back and still young, albeit with a laundry list of injuries, in 2021. So for Marshall, this is a long-term investment of just auction budget and no actual acquisition cost. I like that. We see every single year that the auction is brutal. Teams bring in tons of cash thinking they’re going to land someone awesome and instead overpay mediocre players that won’t be kept beyond that year anyway, like $63 Yusei Kikuchi or $32 Adam Jones. So Marshall essentially flushed some percentage of his future auction cash now rather than later but added an asset that feels a lot safer and with more upside.

Hustle noted that “if Taillon was healthy and in auction for 2020, he probably goes above $50,” but I would actually throw out that if Taillon, in his injured state, made it to auction this year, he’d go for at least $30 just because there’s a half dozen teams with more than $200 to spend. So kudos to Marshall for sniffing that out and getting this done now.

For Long Ball, I hope this is just “I want to cut this dead 2020 salary anyway, so I may as well take this and be done with it” and not “I listed a bunch of stuff on my trade block and the thing with the cheapest salary is the only thing anyone wants because oMg SaLaRy AnD cOsT cOnTrOl.” There’s no telling. I do think he got effectively nothing and might have done better waiting around for some of the tankers with budget space to check in. But maybe not. Sometimes the bird in hand is just better.

Thank you to both owners for taking a brief break from FANTASY FOOTBALL SZN to partake in this trade.

Trade: Marshall Law | TBD

Marshall Law trades away

  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†3 (Marshall Law)
  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†4 (Marshall Law)

TBD trades away

  • Freeland, Kyle $5

Jordan’s thoughts

So last year Kyle Freeland was really good. Like really really good. This year he has been bad enough to get demoted back to the minor leagues. Last year he limited HR/9 to 0.76, and this year its at 2.43. That’s really bad. Seems a little fluky, but it’s a problem. His walk rate is up too, but this seems all fixable.

These are the kinds of deals I love seeing teams like Marshall Law making. You see an asset available. He’s covered in mud. Value might be low, might not ever recover. But, the best prospect is a young player who has already had success the majors in my opinion. Even if Freeland is just bad for the rest of time, two draft picks costs nothing to take a chance at potentially getting a above average starting pitcher.

For TBD, you like getting draft picks for players that are potential cuts. When you’re on top of the standings, the roster crunch doesn’t allow you to sit on players who have faded. So getting some value from a team that likely isn’t a threat to you this year is a win win.

 

Hustle’s Toxico $.02

Going to try and do that thing where I don’t read the review above first.

Trade Seems Fine (TM). It’s not super exciting for either party, which means it’s a reasonable trade.¬† I would never trade a bunch for a non exciting Rockies pitcher, but this wasn’t a bunch. The Rockies thought Kyle Freeland was so bad, even by their standards, that he had to go down to AAA after a pretty stellar 2018.¬† In AAA, Freeland has continued to be bad.¬† I think one pick should probably have been enough to get this done, but this is nitpicking.¬† If I’m throwing darts at back end starters, I rather use just one pick or move or move on to a different starter. I doubt there was a bidding war for Freeland, and I doubt TBD doesn’t jump on the opportunity to acquire a free pick and pick up a new green flag guy.¬† If Marshall is optimistic on Freeland more than just a dart throw, then adding in a low end pick seems more than fine to do. If Freeland turns it around, he seems like a great under $10 pitcher keep.¬† Either way, I like this trade for both teams.

AT THIS POINT, I HAVE DECIDED TO READ JORDAN’S REVIEW.

I like Jordan’s review better than mine. He used more numbers.¬† Also, I noticed I wrote “toxico” instead of “toxic”.¬† I kind of like toxico more now.¬† Let me know your thoughts.

 

Trade: TBD | Who’s Your Haddy?

TBD trades away

  • Solak, Nick (prospect)
  • May, Dustin (prospect)
  • Adams, Jordyn (prospect)
  • Groshans, Jordan (prospect)
  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†1 (The Process)

Who’s Your Haddy? trades away

  • Verlander, Justin $50

Jordan’s Thoughts

Justin Verlander is OLD. 36 is a high number for a baseball player and fantasy owners alike. However, this deal is about finishing this year strong. TBD currently in first place, is padding their roster for a deep playoff run. It is smart, makes sense, and its for a player that clearly makes a difference.

Verlander is currently 5th in highest points scored in our league. He’s averaging nearly 42 points a start. In a two start week, he can bury your opponent. He didn’t help Haddy enough, as the rest of your roster still matters, but for TBD’s duo, the rest of their roster was fine before they added Verlander.

For TBD making this trade is easy. Trading some of tomorrow’s lottery tickets for an actual top end upgrade for today is something you do every day. Prospects are easy to come by, teams need them, they’re nice to have, but this is the best way (in my humble opinion) to use prospects. To push to win. Waiting on them to mature is fine, you hope they make crazy weird jumps to relevance that makes you feel good and seem like a genius. But, none of us really know.

For Haddy, well if you’re out, these kinds of deals make sense. Verlander isn’t helping you win this year, winning is no longer a top concern. Verlander would help you win next year, however he is older, and he’s a pitcher and they break. If I’m Haddy I’m pretty happy with this return. He’s getting two top 100 prospects, May who’s a top 20, plus two other prospects who are better than interesting.

The two Jordan’s (Jordyn?) were first round top 20 picks in the MLB 2018 draft. Both grade out as 45+ FV guys with hit tools being their ticket. Betting on those guys is a good idea.

Dustin May (60FV) just got called up to AAA and will be tested by the new home run ball. So far in 2019 he has looked good and projects to be a middle of the rotation, perhaps potentially a top end starter.

Nick Solak (50FV) is also in AAA for the Rays/Expos and he walks and hits for power. He’s the classic profile I like to target for my hitters in these kinds of leagues. For me he looks like a high floor hitter, with a ceiling that potentially could be very sexy.

I like what Haddy got back, but he’ll miss Verlander next year when he’s going to push to get back into the playoffs again. TBD will have forgotten who these prospects are this time next year. They have shown time and time again their ability to reload the system cost effectively. Verlander doesn’t guarantee a championship, but it makes it harder for them to lose it.

Bailey’s Thoughts

Okay, so up front: Jordan’s already written his review, but I’m not going to read it first. So if I repeat anything he said, sorry.

In short: I love this for TBD and don’t understand it at all for Haddy. I really don’t.

Here’s the thing about this league, in my opinion: we’re in year four and there has, to my recollection, never been an “ace” starting pitcher at auction. Let me think. I think Luis Severino was in our second year, but he was just a random former prospect then. And are we confident he’s an “ace” currently? I’m sure not. I guess Zach Greinke, Madison Bumgarner, and David Price were the year before last. But is Price an “ace”? I think you want him as your SP2 or SP3, not SP1. Is Bumgarner an ace? I’d debate that, though he’s obviously good. Greinke’s an ace. So okay, in four years, one proven, surefire ace SP has made it to auction, and I think at the time there were looming questions about him. That’s the thing. These top tier starters do not hit auction. They don’t. Verlander won’t. TBD is 100% keeping him unless he suffers an injury, or I guess trading him.

I guess also, when I say “ace,” it’s kind of deceiving because it makes you think pitcher. I’m sort of thinking as just overall, elite player. Mike Trout doesn’t get to auction. Cody Bellinger doesn’t. Christian Yelich doesn’t. Freddie Freeman doesn’t. The only way you get these guys is by trading for them or by stumbling upon one.

Here’s what happens, time and time again: all the stud pitchers get sold for prospects because their salary or age is so terrifying. Oh no, Verlander is 36 and my goal is to build a dynasty that dominates for eight years in a row, gotta dump him. Then there’s 6-8 teams with $200+ of cap space to spend on the ace they assume will get cut, but instead, those 6-8 teams get to fight over Chris Archer or Dallas Keuchel or Buster Posey whoever. One of each of that tier of player gets dispersed to those 6-8 teams, but because those 6-8 teams gutted themselves to get a low salary, that one player doesn’t change anything. And also half those players bust because they were risky to begun with, thus being sent back to auction. Rinse and repeat. The year we had Greinke, Bumgarner, Price, and oh yeah, Shohei Ohtani, guess what? Four separate teams totaling $218 in salary. So if you’ve rebuilt down to $250 of cash to spend, you better: (a) hope there are four players like that at auction, (b) win two or three, if not all four, and (c) then hope the player actually pans out to be an impact player. Living the auction dream is scary shit.

I want very badly to know what the market was for a $50, starting at $52 to keep, Justin Verlander. At worst, he gets $15 of greed and costs $67. THAT. IS. NOTHING. He’s the 5th overall scorer right now, this year. He finished third last year. He finished 19th the year before and third a year earlier. I get that pitchers are fragile, old pitchers especially, but this dude will impact your team more than almost any other player. I continue to not understand why a guy like this is considered such a bad risk but a pitching prospect isn’t. JV’s a 99th percentile performer and he fetched… two good prospects (May, Groshans), a couple prospects that teams like HLR, TBD, and Long Ball scoop off waivers with regularity, and a draft pick. That’s it? I’m a dipshit for not submitting offers. Shame on me. I didn’t think I had the pieces. But I want to know if any “rebuilders” inquired here. Haddy? Did you get offers from the teams that have gutted their rosters down to $200? Why didn’t you engage with me on Trevor Story (was it the Matt Chapman thing, where cost control is only cool until the player is a stud, then it’s not sexy anymore) for Verlander? WHYYYYYY?!

I like Dustin May and all, but TINSTAAPP. I like Jordan Groshans too, but optimistically, he’s not scoring fantasy points until 2021. Maybe Nick Solak becomes Jeff McNeil or something, which is helpful but lacking real impact. A first round pick? What freakin’ ever.

If I’m Haddy, I’d rather just keep Verlander and run it back in 2020 and maybe 2021 and maybe even 2022, especially after already dumping Chris Sale. Cut freakin’ Jose Abreu‘s $70 salary and just keep Verlander. Or trade Abreu for half this same package. Easy. Sure, maybe you flip all the ones you just got for this type of guy later, but maybe not. Again, the list of guys who produce like JV is super slim. Bird in hand, etc. I’m not taking this package for Scherzer. I doubt HLR’s taking it for Arenado. Dan’s not taking it for Yelich or Gerrit Cole. Maybe May becomes Syndergaard 2.0, but cost controlled, and I look foolish. Except not really, because even if that happens, that’s not even remotely the most likely outcome. That’s dumb luck. If he ever, at any point, becomes Verlander right now, you basically hit the lottery. I’ll just leave this here:

Trade: Senior Squids | TBD

TBD trades away

  • Marte, Noelvi (prospect)
  • White, Evan (prospect)
  • Kelenic, Jarred (prospect)
  • 2020¬†Draft Pick, Round¬†1 (TBD)

Senior Squids trades away

  • Chapman, Matt $9.03

Jordan’s thoughts: Any time you can take a top 20, possibly top 10 asset in the entire league anf turn it into a trio of Mariners prospects and a draft pick you can use to draft another, you have to do it, right?¬†¬†

No. No you don’t.

Let’s look at Matt Chapman. He’s clearly old at 26 and 2 months. Last year he was a 137 wRC+, .369 wOBA hitter. This year, half way through, he’s been a 137 wRC+, .372 wOBA player. He’s walking slightly more. Striking out slightly less. Hitting way more homers.¬†

That’s a fun guy to own. An even better guy to have in the cost controlled setting of Dynasty Grinders. He’s currently the 40th highest scoring player. There’s 11 guys currently cost controlled with more points scored. Chapman IS THE GUY that you build around. He just is.

So, the return… Jarred Kelenic (last year’s 6th overall pick in our draft, a pick Squids traded to TBD for Ryan O’Hearn ūü§Į) lit Mariners twitter on fire early on the season by destroying Single-A ball hitting a 179 wRC+ in 50 games. He got promoted and as a 19-year-young hitter, his first 20 games in High-A has been 99 wRC+. Not awful, he’s young for the league, will probably catch up. But he’s already showing that he’s not the Juan Soto/Ronald Acuna type prospect that’s going to debut at 19 in MLB. He needs time and seasoning. The hit tools are there. He’s probably a good fantasy asset down the line.

Evan White is currently 23-years-old and has been doing alright in Double-A ball for the Mariners system. Another top 100 prospects on the FanGraphs lists and projects to be an average 1Bman that our league has come to love. He has the tools and talents to be some what of an asset in the future, but at 23 in double-A, the ceiling is just lower.

Noelvi Marte is 17-years-young and in rookie ball hitting slightly above average for the level with a 113 wRC+ in 23 games played. Scouts like his hit tools, but he’s not lighting up the charts or looking anything much more than a potential slow climbing prospect. Good to have, yet typically easy to find and acquire.¬†

Now, based on my simple player review, you are probably gathering that this a slam dunk, what the fuck, how did TBD do this kind of deal. And if you assumed that, well you’re right.¬†

TBD, currently at 11-2 in the league, sitting in first place, adds a cheap fantasy star for nickels on the dollar. Chapman is the best player in this deal now. Likely the best player in this deal four years from now. Possibly (probably) the best player in this deal in 2027 as a 34 year old. Even if the prospects were better, you still do this type of deal to acquire this kind of player. 100 out of 100 times. 

Senior Squids is currently in 9th place, sitting at 6-7 on the path to mediocrity again. It sucks that things have not broken the right way and the motivation to retool/build for next season seems tempting. The problem is that the obvious plan is to build around guys like Matt Chapman, not give them away to save like $20 of budget and assume the risk of a prospect. If you want to trade an asset like Chapman, the return should be major league ready cost controlled players who are on the rise, PLUS¬†this same minor league package. If you’re not getting that…

HOLD THE ASSET.

I’m sorry, the best plan here for either team is to have Matt Chapman. If you’re concerned about some fluke and having so much stock in one player and you REALLY want to diversify the asset, you have to get more than this. If more does not exist, just hold. Don’t cave into the market that you are forcing yourself into.

Have a plan. Develop the plan. Otherwise you’re on a captainless ship, swaying back and forth in the seas heading in no clear direction based on gut calls hoping to find land. Maybe you luck out. Good luck.¬†

Return of trade reviews.

Yep, they need to happen. The league was born from it. We went soft and catered to the bullshit. If anything it gets discussion going. I’m willing to eat every single word in this post, printed out on paper (and I hate printing internet things) if the return here wins Squids or the Mariners a championship.

A Bundle of Braves.

THE FOUNDATION trades:                                     

2B- Ozzie Albies                                      

RP- Justus Sheffield (AAA)                                           

2020 2nd round pick 

ORGANIZED CHAOS trades:

SP- Frankie Montas

LF- Kyle Schwarber

2020 4th round pick

Yesterday I commented on how diffiult it was to review my own trade. Today, I again tried to ask, “why would he do that,” and see both sides of the deal, but it was easier to form a solid opinion on this¬† deal.¬†

The Foundation – Jordan does this deal to get¬† Frankie Montas, who has been very productive this year averaging 33.2 points per game. He will step in as The Foundation’s best pitcher when Hyun-Jin Ryu finds his way back to the injured list.¬† I personally don’t think Montas has the talent to maintain this level of play, but Im wrong about players all the time. His numbers suggest there may be some regression coming, but nothing that Jordan will lose sleep over. Even with some regression, Montas should be an above average starting pitcher and a good acquistion to the¬† Foundation.¬†

The Foundation also adds Kyle Schwarber. The numbers on the back of Schwarber’s baseball card are kind of ugly. He also has a history of sitting against lefthanders. With all that said, a decent eye and the power he is known for has carried him to a 5.15ppg average making him a decent LF option for the Foundation, who just lost LF Andrew McCutchen for the year. His $36 price tag puts him on the cut bubble, but Jordan can worry about that later.¬†¬†

ORGANZIED CHAOS- Why would he do this? It’s either Ozzie Albies, or the desire to own the enitre Braves infield. Im not sure which Ozzie Albies Coach Swinson is actually getting here. Is it the man-child from the first half of last year, or the kid who is hitting .259/.318/.403 for the year?¬† Grinders member Keith Lott of We Talk Fantasy Sports has a pretty strong opinion of Albies¬† https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js” data-wplink-url-error=”true”>here. Im not that quick to write off¬† a 22 year old with a once rated 70 hit tool but Im not sure he does enough other things to be the true fantasy star some people believe he still could be.¬†

Chaos gets Justus Sheffield in the deal. I truely ask “why did he do that?” Sheffield has a devestating slider, but not much after that.¬† He’s a top 100 prospect, in mulitlpe locations, but without significant improvement I cant see him having alot of¬† success unless it’s in relief. Im afraid this might be a case of Coach Swinson trusting the lists, without additional homework.¬†

Chaos got a 2nd rounder for a 4th rounder in this deal. It helps balance things a little. 

SO WHO WON THE DEAL? 

Jordan preaches winning now, and traded Albies’ potential (whatever it may be), for an above average starting pitcher and a useful LF. Coach gets a young 2B, and almost a monopoly of the Atlanta infield.¬† Anyway I fernslice it, I prefer The Foundation’s side by a good bit.