Capital City Ironmen trades away
2023 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Capital City Ironmen)
HUSTLE’S TOXIC $0.02
I anticipate that my team places better than Bailey’s in 2022 because a lot of his guys will have retired, thus I’d like to lock in a slightly better pick. It was announced that 2023 is the last expansion draft of our minor leaguers, so a 5th rounder will have some value.
BAILEY’s thoughts
I expect that my team will be better than Hustle’s in 2022 because I anticipate Nelson Cruz scoring 1,000 points per season well into his mid-50’s. Worst case, Hustle will end up with the higher pick and draft a prospect better than me, which honestly hurts me less than it does the teams who are hellbent on rebuilding despite having worse farm systems AND major league rosters than Hustle already has.
Capital City Ironmentrades away
Roberto Perez ($7) 2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Capital City Ironmen)
Hustle’s Toxic $.02: Marshall needed a catcher so he traded down in the 5th round (11 picks total) to get a $7 Roberto Perez. The price was basically free. So why not? Perez’ Streamer slash line is projected at 219/303/399 slash, which would be down from 239/321/452 of last year. If he regresses that much he might not be worth owning. His biggest asset is PAs at catcher, and currently he’s expected to get a decent amount. $7 in auction for Perez would be fine, last year Tucker Barnhart went for $23. That might not be the guide to guy by, but clearly shows some people’s desperation if it goes to auction. As bad as a $23 was for Barnhart, someone bid $22. This is a nice way to lock in some catcher PAs and Marshall was currently carrying a blank there, so this is a cheap fix. For Bailey? Moving up 11 picks in the 5th makes his farm just a bit stronger than it was before this trade. Congrats.
Capital City Ironmentrades away 2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (JobuNeedsARefill) Clayton Kershaw ($125)
Hustle’s Toxic $.02: First thought that comes to my mind when seeing this trade come in is remembering that Kershaw was traded straight up for a 5th round pick a couple months ago. So Bailey clearly profited here. Turned two 5th round picks into a 3rd. Somehow, his farm got even stronger. Back to back trades. His rebuild is hitting its stride here. Well done sir.
For Swinson, he gives up a 3rd round pick for a very overpriced Kershaw. If Kershaw gets thrown back in, he goes for a lot. Maybe 90, maybe 120, maybe more. A few teams have a lot of money heading into auction, Swinson basically made his purchase at the expense of a mid round pick. It seems good. Rounding out his budget with a high end pitcher seems smart with his roster, and if it doesn’t work out, he can probably get a pretty decent haul for a Kershaw rental. The only critique here is probably not getting on it earlier where as it might have only costed him a 4th or 5th, but that’s a minor point. Leaving auction money on the table is the worst thing you can do, and this ensures Swinson won’t.
Hustle’s Toxic $.02 Wade Miley was pretty useful in the first half last season and terrible in the second half. Trumpas picks up $3 pitcher for a 3rd round pick. With Innings Pitched instead of starts, Miley’s disaster games will hurt a little less. I wouldn’t bet on Miley to be a very good pitcher in 2020, especially heading to Great American Smallpark, but this also wasn’t a very big bet. I like this move to add SP depth for Trumpas.
Yet again, Bailey has made his farm stronger by getting a mid round pick. I’m in awe of the mobility he’s created in his rebuild. At this pace, by 2025, he might have a top 10 farm in Dynasty Grinders. Things are looking up!
The trade was for the 44th pick of the 2020 draft which has now been traded back and forth at least 4 times and is now back on Bailey’s team. The anticipation of whoever is picked here (likely Noah Song), will be through the roof come draft day! 21 days away!
Just when I thought the nonsense was over, they bring me back in. Bailey is on a mission here with all these picks. 2 more 3rd rounders! He just bumped up his window in being a top 10 farm (maybe) by a full year. 2024.
For Trumpas, I think this is fine. Ideally you only give up one 3rd rounder here. Julio Teheran moving to a better pitchers park helps his value. $33 seems about what he’d go for in auction. If he goes for less, it wouldn’t be a tremendous amount. Trumpas adds some more depth to its rotation that was in dire need for it. Maybe seeing Kershaw go off the board earlier in the day inspired Trumpas to make his de facto auction purchase.
Even if I’m not optimistic about his chances for Tehran’s success in 2020, the price was low enough for the gamble. Other than the Kershaw deal, that seems to be the trend in all three of these.
Bailey got some trade sweetners and since we are expanding 5 spots through 2023, these third rounders will have some value going forward.
After months (seemingly) of everyone getting Marcus Stroman offers, he was finally traded. $49 strikes me as a high salary for him. That being said, he probably goes close to this in auction, maybe slightly more depending on who else is in auction? Will there be a better pitcher in auction than Samardzja/Lester/Archer? Kershaw? Stroman had a sparkling 3.22 ERA last year but his FIP/XFIP suggest he was pitcher closer to a 4 ERA pitcher. The K/9 was just under 8, which is an improvement from 2018. I’m not sure Stroman and his contract would be a guy I’d target, but I also don’t hate it. Clark’s rotation got deeper and behind Flaherty, he know has Sandy Alcantara, Stroman, Wood, Houser , Mahle and Bundy, amongst a few others. Getting Stroman for Clark is at the very least a guy he can throw out for just about every start, and he needed it.
Bailey picks up a shitpick upgrade, congrats. He also made his farm stronger, a rarity for the Crapitol Shittys. KeBryan Hayes is now his #1 prospect and Nick Neidert is probably somewhere in the top 5, maybe even #2. It’s a Dynasty League after all, and you can’t always be trading for good older players and expect to be competitive forever.
I really like going after these guys. Hayes was a highly regarded prospect last year and some shine wore off, but he was a beast in the 2nd half after injury, so I this was a great buy low prospect. I hate doing the “Who will be next year’s ____” type question, because usually the type of season that prompts that question is usually in reference to something that doesn’t happen too often. That being said, Nick Neidert sure seems like a possibility for next year’s Gallen. A guy who looks clearly like a starter, but just needed his stuff to tick up a bit, and he looked great in the AFL. So two live close to the major prospects for a $49 Stroman seems like a great deal, especially since I assume Bailey couldn’t keep him.
Based on liking the two prospects here, I think I’d give the edge to Bailey here. I think there were better less salaries pitchers on the tradeblock that could have potentially been obtained without Hayes, but maybe not. I still think overall this made Clark’s team better for 2020, and if Stroman has a similar season then he might not regret any of what he gave up.
Capital City Ironmen trades away Kelly, Merrill ($26)
The Process trades away 2020 Draft Pick, Round 5 (Marshall Law)
Teheran, Julio ($33)
HUSTLE’S TOXIC $.02
Yeah well, Kelly lasted on Bailey’s team for a few hours. Most notable part about this trade is Marshall taught Bailey his trademark move, “The Pick and Roll”. The Pick and Roll is when you send a trade offer to someone where all the pieces are generally equal but you ask for a shit PICK in the offer and ROLL the dice to see if the other owner is too lazy to stand his ground on a pick of little value. Bailey hit the Pick and Roll to perfection here.
Didn’t think Bailey was keeping Kelly because of salary reasons, so I’m not sure he keeps another pitcher who is roughly the same but slightly more expensive. Ferns gets a pitcher her presumably likes more than Teheran, because the 7 dollar price difference shouldn’t be a factor for him. The numbers say Julio was slightly better on a P/IP level and Julio has been a consistent innings guy for years now, so he might be slightly more valuable, but Kelly had a few really good stretches. I think Kelly has more upside to “figure it out” in his 2nd year back in the majors. Seems Fine
If you want to be a yearly powerhouse like me, you have to make yearly powerhouse moves. This was a powerhouse move for….nobody.
Capital City made his farm worse, and it was already in a dire state. Chaos acquired 3 prospects from Bailey here and they are all just ok. Duran got some hype early last year and then was just a guy, his ceiling his probably Nick Markakis, and Markakis is practically free as is. Roederer is probably the best of these 3 prospects for no other reason than he appeared on farms of teams who are yearly powerhouses. If Roederer’s takes an extra step, he could be a regular corner OF bat, which is nice I suppose. Aaron Ashby is a pitcher. These guys don’t excite me much, but they are guys who are perfectly ownable in a deep league like this. And they are indeed owned.
The return for Bailey is Merill Kelly and $5. I like Kelly, and I think his contract is reasonable. He pitched well down the stretch this season. Ideally you’d want him for $10 or less, but in auction he probably goes for about the $26 of his current price. Maybe with innings pitched instead of starts, Kelly is worth less because of a sub 8 k/9. The $5 is nice for Bailey if he actually focuses in at auction for once.
I don’t know, this one’s a head scratcher. I think Chaos would have probably been better off holding Kelly and Bailey is probably better off keeping some prospects for a rainy day. Instead I wrote some words.
Long ball to LF (Johnnywise) trades away
Kershaw, Clayton ($125)
Hustle’s Toxic $.02: Well it happened. The much anticipated 1st trade of the offseason and it’s a… swing and this miss for both teams. Bailey trades for a he can’t keep. Leavitt acquires a worthless pick. Boredom has set in. The long winter without fantasy baseball awaits us all, like death. The World Series hasn’t even happened, and we have already resorted to nonsense. Lucky for everyone, trade reviews will be back for the offseason because I was once told that “nonsense is your life blood”. Wise words. It’s been a while since I’ve done trade reviews. I’ve hibernated for months, and now I’m back. More toxic than ever. Hazardous masks will be required attire before reading my reviews. Again, to sum it up, terrible pointless trade other than to give me a voice to tell you both publicly. Thank you.
I find it pretty amusing that there’s back to back 1 for 1 deals between the same two teams. But, it happened. First, Danny Santana has broken all projections and just continues to prove the old adage that you can’t predict baseball. He’s only 28 years old somehow and probably pretty valuable.
Projection systems still believe a huge regression is coming and while he’s still going to be valuable as a .310-.330 wOBA player, its not likely he keeps up the .388 pace. Which is probably why Bailey traded him off for Joc who is having a good year with a .344 wOBA and is projected to improve the rest of the way. Its not a clear win for Bailey, but I’m leaning that way.
The other deal is the more peculiar one. Alek Thomas is a 50 FV prospect with an ETA 2022. 60 Hit, 40 game power… He is in the top 100 and hitting the ball in A ball. All seems fine. He’s a good prospect, probably worth having.
What’s also worth having is a 800 point hitter who costs less than $30. That’s what 30 year old Mike Moustakas is. Moustakas has consistently been good for a while now, while he does get streaky (plays hurt). The floor is high, consistent, and the ceiling is actually still fairly high. His keeper value is cheap and I just don’t get it. Alek Thomas needs to be really good three-four years from now for this to make sense. If Thomas is acquired to be a bullet to shoot into a trade for next year, I’d just rather have Moustakas next year.
I guess Thomas will be 27 in 2027, so that fits the window.
The Commissioners Office of Dynasty Grinders is pleased to announce the FAAB Pick Up of the Month for July 2019:Brandon Crawford of the San Francisco Giants!
Crawford, who went for $4 of otherwise worthless FAAB, amassed an astounding 56.3 points in a single day. It was a thin schedule day, making this streaming effort all the more amazing. Wow. Stunning. Congratulations to Mr. Crawford!
When pressed for the details behind this FAAB addition, Capital City Ironmen general manager Andrew Bailey said, “I can’t take all the credit. I couldn’t have done it without my spreadsheet. I have a complicated algorithm that really favors players in doubleheaders at Coors Field, especially when they have the platoon advantage against terrible pitchers.”
Travis d’Arnaud, who put up 49 points in a single game, was named the runner-up for this award. Better luck next month, Mr. d’Arnaud, and congratulations to Josh Leavitt and Long Ball to LF for having the month’s second best FAAB pick-up. 🤷♂️
Prospects Lucius Fox, who was picked up for $1 on July 13 by The Foundation, and Parker Meadows, scooped up by Trust the Process for $0 on July 12, failed to receive any votes for this coveted award. Both players are turds.
Craig Stammen has been an average reliever for the Padres this year. He was recently picked up from the free agent waiver wire this morning. With his high keeper price tag, and the low ceiling value of relievers. I think Stammen is just plugging a hole here.
John Brebbia has been an average reliever for the Cardinals this year. He was recently picked up from the free agent waiver wire this morning. With his high keeper price tag, and the low ceiling value of relievers. I think Brebbia is just plugging a hole here.
The $3 swaps of auction cash likely balances out before the auction. I think both sides plugged holes they felt needing plugging and it cost them nothing. I am certain the trade gave both +5 in the relationship experience bar. That could be valuable soon!
The Evil Otters trades away 2022 Draft Pick, Round 4 (The Evil Otters
The Process trades away Aguilar, Jesús ($12)
AND
The Evil Otterstrades away Cabrera, Miguel ($53)
The Processtrades away Amaya, Miguel
HUSTLE’S TOXIC $.02: I guess we can look at this trade as 1 trade, or 2, it doesn’t really matter. Miguel Cabrera seems like an easy cut at his contract after this season, but I probably would have shopped around harder than to settle for a catcher in A ball who doesn’t particularly have a high ceiling. I’d argue a 3rd round pick might be better than Amaya. Fangraphs does have Amaya at 55 hit and power, which if it comes true would certainly be an above average catcher, but this seems like years away and Amaya might need a team change. Not a prospect I would have targeted per Hustle Media’s Prospect Rankings™. Perhaps Kyle should have put Miguel Cabrera on the #tradeblock, but then again in this league a guy over 30 with an expensive contract it’s basically implied “no interest”. I like this trade a lot for Ferns because he got a guy who fits a positional need and will play almost every day, and has a chance to be better than he has shown this season, and he got him for close to free. As Miguel Cabrera wasn’t going to be part of the Evil Otters following this season, it’s not like Kyle lost much. After his team’s previous owner traded a bunch of draft picks and quit the league, Kyle has been rebuilding through prospect trades and pickups, so it makes sense to get a guy at least interesting.
The second trade actually does do quite a bit to balance this in my eyes for Kyle. Getting Jesus Aguilar for basically free seems like a nice gamble. Aguilar was borderline elite last year and through struggles and playing time has been an afterthought. It’s not a bad decision to keep him on your bench to see if he gets traded or hot (and starts games) for the price of nothing. Aguilar is a potential keeper, whereas Miguel (Cabrera to be clear) has no potential keepability. For Ferns, he was in a roster crunch. I’ve been there, so I get it. Better to get something than nothing.
This was kind of too many words to talk about Miguel Amaya and Jesus Aguilar today, but I’m at work and had nothing better to do. However we spend Memorial Day, let us all remember the great trades over the years in Dynasty Grinders history. Kyle may have gotten Jesus Aguilar for free after Ferns got Miguel Cabrera for free, but free players has been an institution in Dynasty Grinders since 2016 as well as trading Miguel Cabrera
Let us take a stroll back down memorial lane 3 years ago when Ferns once again acquired Miguel Cabrera.
Capital City Ironmen trades away Gray, Sonny Ruiz, Rio Zunino, Mike 2017 Draft Pick, Round 3 (The Foundation) Tropeano, Nick Ruiz, Carlos Lee, Zach Cabrera, Miguel
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