Trade: Suplex City | Who’s Your Haddy

Mariners Moose Tracks, 9/20/20: Tim Anderson, Gary Hughes, and Players To  Be Named Today - Lookout Landing

 

Who’s Your Haddy trades away

  • Clarke Schmidt – $0 cc
  • Taylor Trammell – prospect
  • Brett Baty – prospect
  • 2021 Draft Pick, Round 3 Pick 3

Suplex City trades away

 

Suplex City continues trading at a feverish pace. This time he parts with batting champ Tim Anderson. Haddy makes his first move of the day and fills an obvious need at SS.

I think I give this one to Suplex City. The prospect package he got for Anderson is headlined by Clarke Schmidt, who I really like. It is pretty clear that the Yankees love the guy because they were super cautious with him in 2020 and made sure not to start his service time. He’s also already at the major league level. Even if they keep him in the minors to start the 2021 season to work on his defense or whatever excuse they use to manipulate his service time.. he’ll still be a $0 cost controlled starter that puts up quality innings. Just as you can read through the lines with Schmidt, you can do the same for Trammell. It is pretty clear that major league front offices value him quiet a bit less than the fantasy baseball community. If he was a sure fire stud, he wouldn’t have been traded twice before his debut. First he was traded in a deal for Trevor Bauer then in a deal for Austin Nola. Not a great trend. He’s already 23 and the Mariners have no reason to keep him in the minors. So maybe he gets his shot and overachieves like Kyle Lewis? That’s your hope here. As for Baty, I don’t think he makes enough contact to make a big impact and I worry the glove won’t keep him at 3B. He’ll hit homers, but if he’s relegated to RF he has to make even more contract to stay relevant.

Every year Tim Anderson is a threat to win the AL batting title. In 2019 he hit .335 and followed that up with .322 in 2020. I just worry that production doesn’t translate to elite fantasy points. In 2019 he won the batting title, it was good for 6.4 points per game. Which was 13th best among SS that year. In 2020 he was walking at a higher rate, which could mean better times are around the corner, and I hope that’s the case. While he’s be a star in the MLB and one of the leagues most popular players, he still unproven as a star fantasy asset in DG.

Trade: Suplex City | TBD

Shades of Junior? Kyle Lewis makes a leaping, grand-slam robbing catch in  Mariners' play of the year | SWX Right Now - Sports for Spokane, CdA,  Tri-Cities, WA

 

TBD trades away

  • Gavin Lux $0 cc
  • Kyle Lewis $0 cc
  • Orelvis Martinez

Suplex City trades away

 

I really don’t know what to think about Kyle Lewis. Is he the only Mariner that Squids doesn’t own, btw? I can’t decide if he is the always injured prospect who has tons or potential, or is he the guy that took the league by storm and is on his way to being a superstar? Either way, I like this gamble for Suplex City. If I had to guess, he’s probably one of those guys that is better in real life or in a roto league, like Mondesi or Tim Anderson. As great as his year was, it was only good for 5.8 points per game. Not spectacular. You’ll probably have to live with huge swings in production, but his defense is good enough and the team around him is bad enough that he’ll get a tooooooooooooooooonnnnnnn of leash from the organization if he struggles.

What an odd year for Gavin Lux. Everyone outside of the Dodgers believes he’s a future stud, but they treat him like he’s Chris Taylor 2.0. His numbers in the majors haven’t forced the issue, so that’s not great, but eventually they have to give him everyday playing time, right? In any event, this is a good buy low for Suplex. If Lux came up and started mashing, no way TBD moves him. The poor showing through 200PA took enough shine off him for someone to pry him away from TBD.

I’ve always been fond of Orelvis Martinez. The bat is exciting and I think the glove is good enough to stick at third. A couple years ago I heard someone comp him to Adrian Beltre, and that has stuck with me, true or not.

Now to the TBD portion. They get one of the best shortstops in baseball. Why they needed a fourth rounder to make this happen, I’ll never know, but upgrading SS from Jean Segura to Trea Turner seems like a good decision. I’d bet they wish that extra point per steal was approved during the recent rule voting. Not much else to say really. Turner is an absolute stud and TBD unloaded a lot of prospect capital to get him.

 

Trade: Organized Chaos | JobuNeedsARefill

Organized Chaos trades away

  • SP Tyler Mahle ($5.50)
  • SP Nick Neidert

JobuNeedsARefillΒ trades away

  • 2021 3rd Round Pick
  • RF Kyle Lewis
  • CF Mickey Moniak

BAILEY’s Thoughts

This is an interesting deal for both teams. For Jobu, I think getting $7-to-keep Tyler Mahle is a nice, cheap flier for 2020 and beyond. Mahle is currently averaging 25.14 points per start which, last time I checked, was a tick above average. As has been beaten into all of our heads, inexpensive average or better — sometimes even slightly below average — starters are real commodities. So adding Mahle, in the wise words of Jordan Gillis, “seems fine.”

Nick Neidert is, as I told Organized Chaos when he was offering him to me repeatedly, pretty much nothing. He’s been surpassed in the Marlins system by a half dozen other pitchers and unless he was getting called up tomorrow, I wouldn’t personally want to roster him. Moving on…

Mickey Moniak and Kyle Lewis are relics of the 2016 MLB Draft. Both have failed to live up to the hype, but they seem to maybe, possibly, hopefully be turning a corner this year. Moniak has a 121 WRC at AA this year, so yay, he’s an above average hitter in the minors for the first time since 2016. Kyle Lewis, who somehow is 24 years old already, has a 117 WRC+ at AA. Hooray, he’s an above average hitter for the first time since 2017. I mean… neither guy is doing anything spectacular and I’m not sure either is even a top 200 prospect at this point. But they have prospect pedigree and what not, so maybe they become something. With Lewis, he also has the bonus of being a Seattle Mariner prospect, so when Senior Squids decides to host his next fire sale and rebuild the rebuild of his rebuild, you can maybe flip Lewis to him for a cost controlled stud like Matt Chapman or something. Oh man, I’m gonna be blacklisted again.

Overall, my slightly respectful but unapologetic opinion is that this is a fair swap for both teams.

Trade: Senior Squids | The Wilfred Brimley Fighting Diabeetuses

Senior Squids trades away:

The Wilfred Brimley Fighting Diabeetuses trades away:

Jordan’s thoughts: Squids punches the ticket on three prospects who are or were recently on top 100 lists. The shine on Alcantara, Lewis and Jones is not as bright as it once was, but likely it is not all gone either.

In return, he gets two fairly priced starters. Both players are currently MLB free agents so there is definitely more than a healthy dose of uncertainty. In a vacuum I really enjoy this trade for Squids. You trade three prospects who might be useful, might not be, and turn them into players you should be able to bank on holding down 3B and C for you.

If you’re punting your season before Christmas like WBFD here, I guess tossing away two guys for three prospects is fine. I don’t love it, but its fine.

Andrew’s thoughts:Β I like this one for the Squids.

Neither Mike Moustakas or Wilson Ramos are super exciting players but they’re the kind of players contending teams need and frankly, as cheap as they are, I’m not sure why WBFD didn’t just hang onto them. I can’t imagine buying better players for better salary at auction, and this trifecta of prospects strike me as guys that you hope develop into depth pieces rather than building blocks.

I mean, I get that WBFD is rebuilding. But this isn’t a move that slashes a ton of salary. Neither Moustakas or Ramos were in position to be cuts. They weren’t “take whatever I can get” salary dumps. Like, if you re-invest the $29 into a single player at auction, what is that likely to buy you? Adam Jones? Curtis Granderson went for $27 last year. Is a $29 Steven Matz plus these three prospects better than Moustakas and Ramos? Maybe! I don’t really know. These prospects just don’t excite me enough to want to dump proven major league talent for them and then have to gamble on getting decent replacement talent at auction.